I watch TUF, this season, just seems not as good to me. There playing to much of the drama into it and not enough of the reality of the training and the fighting. I don't like the fact that the fights are only two rounds with a 3rd round only if needed. Though most haven't made it that far anyway, it just isn't right, IMO.
Gracie has fought, just not in the UFC. He's fought in Japan with Pride and some other orgs. However, Royce has not fought under the new UFC rules since he started. Royce has BJJ which, if you have some BJJ training you can and should be able to defend against it well. Matt is a monster, he's an awesome wrestler, he's got a good ground game with his ground and pound and subs plus he's a good striker. He has a very good chance of knockin' Royce the hell out. Gracie will be without hi Gi so it will be interesting to see how he does without it. Personaly, Matt will win, but then again, I know him so I may be a little biased.